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Ethiopian Banks May Be Less Profitable as Deposit Growth Slows
Jan. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Ethiopian banks may become less profitable this year as deposit growth slows and because of a law that requires lenders to buy government securities, Access Capital SC said.
Returns on equity are expected to be about 20 percent in coming years, compared with more than 30 percent previously, the Addis Ababa-based group said in an e-mailed research note on Jan. 11. Total income may also drop because of slower growth in lending and as a “growing share of banks’ assets are placed in low-yielding National Bank of Ethiopia paper,” Access said.
Deposit growth is expected to slow “toward 20 to 25 percent” this year, from 30 percent last year, due to slower money-supply growth and competition from state banks, Access said. Non-government lenders’ share of total deposits fell for the first time in the 12 months to July after rising annually for the past 14 years, it said.
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