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Ethiopia in 2005: The Beginning of a Transition? Terrence Lyons

01/24/06

Permalink 10:30:00 am, by nazret.com, 225 words, 653 views   English (US)
Categories: Ethiopia

Ethiopia in 2005: The Beginning of a Transition? Terrence Lyons

Ethiopia in 2005: The Beginning of a Transition?

Center for Strategic and International Studies
Washington DC January 2006


Terrence Lyons
George Mason University


Read Full Article here

Ethiopia is undergoing a volatile process of transition
after a dizzying series of squandered opportunities and
bad-faith strategies by the major contending parties. The
May 2005 national elections offered a glimpse into what
a peaceful, multiparty, competitive, political future might
look like. But subsequent polarizing accusations,
intransigence, violent demonstrations, boycotts, and
criminalization of dissent recalled instead the upheavals
of earlier transitions in 1991–1992 and even 1974–1977.
The situation in January 2006 is both unstable and
dangerous.
Beyond conflicting characterizations of the elections and
assignments of blame, by November 2005, a dangerous
new context began to emerge. The main opposition
coalition had been shattered and its principal leaders
imprisoned; civil society leaders and the independent
press had been harassed and intimidated into silence; and
the incumbent regime found it necessary to use massive
levels of military force against civilians, and to arrest
thousands upon thousands of youths in neighborhood
sweeps to keep order in the capital’s streets. In
December, 131 opposition politicians (including 10
elected members of parliament), journalists, and civil
society leaders were charged with crimes that included
treason and even genocide. This tense standoff is most
likely to move into a situation of further retrenchment by
the incumbent regime and increased resort to violent
repression.

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msg Comment from: nuna [Visitor]
Accepting the 8 points that was requested by cud, such as access to public media by opposition groups,independent court system, independent police,indpendent election board, parliamentry system that does not favor the ruling party,an army that is independent of politics, stopping attack and dismantling viable opposition parties, etc etc.. by the ruling party will help for democracy to florish inthe country, this would be a good start for showing maturity ans statesmanship.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 12:15

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msg Comment from: Aman [Visitor]
No one trust on so called Hailu Shawel party,because of:
1.After he saw his election result ,he declared to boycatt the parilament in Washigton.He never consider even the poor Ethiopian who gave the voice for him.By his understanding those poor Ethiopian who live in his homland are not considerable people.Thise is his big mistake.
2.He motivate school children for street voilence.What is politic for those school children? but for this party easy to convince Children rather than parents and he try to damage thiopian iamge and to block aid for those poor Ethiopians,since they didn`t gave voice for his party.In developed cuntries like Europa and USA school children never envited for such political violation.
Today all Ethiopiansmind,that CUD is not as political party but as anti-peace and ant-Ethiopia party.

At the end I would like to say only for those Ethiopian commentators in this website:
-please we commment and discuss some thing positive aur caunty.
-Please don`t give any attention for those Ertireans comment in thiswebsite.
-Those CUD leaders,they have to applogise people of Ethiopia for their mistake and they will be free from prison.
Whatever they made amistake,they are Ethiopians,they are aur brathers and sisters,they have to free from prison.
God bless Ethiopia and Ethiopians.




PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 13:19

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msg Comment from: nuna [Visitor]
Aman, can you name one mistake the ruling party has made? or are you one of those people the only wrong you see are the wrongs of your opposition. as a cud supporter i can tell you what cud's mistake was,which is, entering in to an election knowing full well the election board members were hand picked by the prime minister 14 years a go,that is a conflict of interest by any one's standard,no body expects this board to be independent, they should have highlighted this fact to the ethiopian people and to the international community way before deciding to participate in the election, i for one knew about this fact after the election when i listened to a BBC interview conducted with the prime minister,cud should have known this election board and judiciary belonged to meles zenawi, and there would not have been an iota of chance for an opposition to win.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 13:40

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msg Comment from: Teddy [Visitor]
Thank you very much, for a well-researched article from Prof. Terrence Lyons. I must say though that the main concern for the international community should be the human right abuse and the imprisonment of politicians and journalists, not the border tension with Eritrea. It is known that the EPDRF and his Eritrean allies created the border tension purposely to divert the focus of the Western world and the UN.

Most importantly, the US should follow the recent British ruling to freeze any aid for the current Ethiopian government instead use international aiding agencies to aid the Ethiopians.

PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 14:18

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msg Comment from: mammo killu [Visitor]

Meles Zenawi and his whore wife damaged any hope of democracy in that country. Until he is removed from there, no peace. I can't believe that whore is in parliament.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 16:01

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msg Comment from: mammo killu [Visitor]

I think the struggle should continue. Western nations should stop feeding this dictator. Humanitarian aid is ok, but not a penny to Meles Zenawi and his wife who is stinking the parliament.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 16:05

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msg Comment from: nuna [Visitor]
mammo,
i agree with you 100%.Mega, and wegagen bank etc etc ...are not enough for her, now she is like mengistu hailemariam, who used to be the head of every thing in the country, now between the husband and the wife i guess even the other eprdf hodames don't have much role to play.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 17:08

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msg Comment from: tiss [Visitor]
Amman are you series what you write about cud,I think you are one off meles zenawis banda
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 17:37

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msg Comment from: Bertu [Visitor]
Thanks very much to the author for well researched paper, but i should say that a very important event is left out from the report for some reason i.e, the 8 point demand of CUD, which was all about getting a gurantee on the future of democrcy in Ethiopia not about power per se,which clearly shows that CUD as party was more intersted in securing democracy on sound ground using the exisiting lagel framwork and peacefully and peacefully.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 17:39

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msg Comment from: Iwnetu [Visitor]
The nature of EPRDF rule is now exposed to the whole world. It is a ruthless DICTATORSHIP. All POWER is in the hands of one man MELES ZENAWI.No more fooling the world as though EPRDF stands for DEMOCRACY.EPRDF has run out of TRICKS.The easy way outfor Meles, RELEASE ALL THE POLITICAL PRISONERS and negotiate with the OPPOSITION PARTIES .The opposition,CUD is becoming more and more popular in the world while EPRDF is becoming more and more NOTORIOUS . No matter what you say or do CUDP will not go away.Otherwise as history teaches us in the end your LUST for ABSOLUTE POWER WILL CORRUPT YOU ABSOLUTELY and then the time will come to face your fate in front of CRIMINAL COURT.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 19:46

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msg Comment from: tulu [Visitor]
What are you guys saying just because the 8 point that you want is not accpted are you going to burn the city down? is that what you are saying..

In democracy you give some you get some... in this case MELES will bring up 8 point that cud must accpte since cud have their own 8 point cud should be willing to give up 4 point and team Meles should also willing to give up his 4 point to reach an end to all this...

cud bring 8 point and want Meles to accpt all of them doesn't work....

I have one point for the cud that Meles can rise... the opp. use VOA as it their own THEREFORE the opp should not give any kind of interview without the other party peresent or gon't give any kind of interview to VOA for exchange of having full access to ETV

nuna ALSO SAID

"can tell you what cud's mistake was,which is, entering in to an election knowing full well the election board members were hand picked by the prime minister 14 years a go,that is a conflict of interest by any one's standard,no body expects this board to be independent, they should have highlighted this fact to the ethiopian people and to the international community way before deciding to participate in the election "

THE ANSWER is very simple you broke it you buy it. CUD inded enter in to the election knowing what they know and they can not change the game rule once the out come known... yes they can say whatever they want to say about the next election but this election is gone case... after you eat your cake you can't say you ate the wrong one and doesn't want to pay. it doesn't work that way... if you think the election borad is not fair don't enter the election once you enter the election than you are out of luck by any kind of law.

The election borad is the one who give 40% vote for CUD and 100% sits for cud is now called unfair election borad... samething must be wrong with cud leaders otherewise how can you say the election borad is not fair we he give you the whole city.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 19:55

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msg Comment from: Gebre [Visitor]
My dear country men, Whether we like it or not change is on the way. Let just hope it won't end in a night mare. The million dollar question is how woyane gangs will opt to leave Ethiopia. Will they pull back to their dream land-'Abay Tigray' or will they follow the footsteps of Mengistu. Time will tell pretty soon. Their dirty works will undoubtedly affect the poor people of Tigrai. Well, for those Tigains who collaborated with the woyane gangs will soon get what they deserve (what ever evil they are doing to the poor people of Ethiopia, rest assured, that will soon turn out to be their fate.)Their evil deeds will hunt them back. As to the rest of peace loving Ethiopians, we will live in harmony within and with the neighboring countries. Never has Ethiopia witnessed as shamefully bankrupt and deceitful leaders as woyanes. No wonder they sat in Mekele for five years until some one telling them to go to Addis. They did not have a clear vision for their cause to say the least. Otherwise, they must have had a corrupted self-serving one we have witnessed since their arrival. These power mongers live in a world of deceit and lies(double talkers! they appear as Ethiopian to the Donors and Addis residents; but 'Tigrayoch and Tigrayna' when they gang up against ethiopia). How soon they forgot what they were saying about the Derge when they were in their shorts. Now that they put suits they trashed the agony of the poor Ethiopian people they once seemed to care. Shame on Woyanes and their followers! May peace reign in the East Africa.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 20:43

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msg Comment from: yehuna [Visitor]
Dear nuna!
You said:
"...can you name one mistake the ruling party has made?"\




"... i for one knew about this fact after the election when i listened to a BBC interview conducted with the prime minister,cud should have known this election board and judiciary belonged to meles zenawi, and there would not have been an iota of chance for an opposition to win. "

What is your question again?
take care.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 21:10

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msg Comment from: yehuna [Visitor]
Dear nuna!
Disregard the 21:10 comment.
take care.
PermalinkPermalink 01/24/06 @ 21:13

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Dear fellow Ethiopians EPRDF,CUD and UEDF supporters. By the way I don't discriminate any body whether he supports EPRDF or CUD for both are Ethioians eventhough my heart goes with EPRDF. Because they died and brought freedom and Democracy in this 3 thousand years old country of ours Ethiopia. So they deserve to be called Ethiopians rather than foreigners by CUD Confused United Demons Hard core leader Hailu Showel. Dear Nunaye You better swallow your pride and take the defeat. I am happy that EPRDF won the mjority of the parliament I am happy Cud won Addis Ababa and more than 100 Seats in the parliuament aswell. But asking to change the Election Board without entering the Parliament is unacceptable. Because you allready lost the election. But you have aright to ask for a change in the future I think that's how the Americans do it. Winning Addis doesn't mean you won at large That's why your street violence didn't go out of Addis. Peacefull strugle is allways fruitfull. For Hailu Showel and companies I wish them well in their cell because Addis has got it's peace without them.

PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 02:57

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msg Comment from: Shiden [Visitor]
Well said Netsanet
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 03:19

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msg Comment from: HAYAL [Visitor]
This talk of the CUD being shattered, that's nonsense!
The CUD has awakened the spirit of freedom in Ethiopia, to quote BIRTUKAN
MIDEKSA!
The Woyane is just a bunch of a minority tribalists who use terror tactics to cling to power.
KINIGIT and its call for a peaceful struggle, the integrity, education, passion, honesty, patriotism of its leadership has inspired thousands of people here so the stuggle continues.
Why always get fixated on the CUD, what about the OLF forcing the TPLF to run for its money in Oromia region.
So let the horde of Meles hysterical fans shriek ! It's over, we won't be fooled anymore and we won't let you silence us any longer, a lot is going on underground all over Ethiopia.
Only ETV goes on pretending that things are normal around here.
By the way the level of the lies and propaganda has fallen to ridiculous levels.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 03:27

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msg Comment from: HAYAL [Visitor]
YEMISSIRATCH TO ALL KINIGIT SUPPORTERS
AND PEOPLE OF GOOD WILL AND COMMON SENSE!!
BIRTUKAN MIDEKSA has sent us a message!
It's so great to hear from her! We love and admire her a lot, she is an inspiration!
The Spirit is alive, it's all around us, freeing us and tormenting our enemies who think, poor fools! that they can kill it with their guns.
I call on all true democrats to rise to the challenge, to be faithfull, not to lose hope, not to be scared, to be honest with ourselves.
Always remember that many have died, have been beaten up, have been imprisonned for this great cause.
For once in our lives we must speak the truth, stand alonside the truth!
WE MUST GIVE LIFE TO DEMOCRACY IN ETHIOPIA!
At the current moment democracy in our country is just a hollow word degraded by a bunch of vindictive, hypocritical, envious tribalists.
We all should always keep in mind what we were thinking and saying and
doing during the debates and the elections!
Remember how we were surprised by this new party whose leaders looked liked like us, sounded like us!
They were intelligent, articulate, passionate, polite and last but not least had a sense of humour.
The Woyanes were talking about Interahamwe all the time, now we know why!
So I'm just an ordinary Ethiopian, I don't pretend to be a leader, I have not suffered what my brothers and sisters have and are suffering, but I have this small contribution that I'm making in the anonymity of cyberspace!
Ethiopia, the Sleeping Beauty has awakened, by the kiss of a great Prince, the CUD.
The toad who pretended to be a prince has his mask uncovered, and the whole world is now seeing its ugly face.
Don't you love the analogy, The Toad
Meles trying to become a prince with
the kiss of America and Britain!
They should wash their mouth for all the admiring adjectives they showered on this frog.
Didn't they feel its cold reptilian skin?(sorry, I know frogs are amphibians but reptilian fits better, doesn't it)
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 03:52

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msg Comment from: kilashkoove [Visitor]
No one thinks chauvinist Amara Party CUD will resolve the Ethiopian chronic political issues. In terms of nations’ interest EPRDF is better than Amaras who always like to be number one in Ethiopia as they learnt before. Do not worries the white peoples whom you are crying to never help you at all. You better discuss with others Ethiopians instead of crying to someone like a child.

Down 2 you !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 04:03

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msg Comment from: socrates [Visitor]
Dont worry friends CUD is now a spirit, no more a political party. CUD might come up with a spiritual solution to Ethiopian political problem. I love CUD, yesterday the model was Ukrain's orange revolution, now it is Poland's movement, finally it is a spirit. If CUD is a spirit, what are EPDRF AND UEDF going to be: mountains, rivers, rocks or forests.

Bravo CUD, you are the 'solution' keep us confused and violent.

Anyways i like the professor's analysis, it is objective.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 05:09

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msg Comment from: socrates [Visitor]
Dont worry friends CUD is now a spirit, no more a political party. CUD might come up with a spiritual solution to Ethiopian political problem. I love CUD, yesterday the model was Ukrain's orange revolution, now it is Poland's movement, finally it is a spirit. If CUD is a spirit, what are EPDRF AND UEDF going to be: mountains, rivers, rocks or forests.

Bravo CUD, you are the 'solution' keep us confused and violent.

Anyways i like the professor's analysis, it is objective.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 05:10

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msg Comment from: socrates [Visitor]
Dont worry friends CUD is now a spirit, no more a political party. CUD might come up with a spiritual solution to Ethiopian political problem. I love CUD, yesterday the model was Ukrain's orange revolution, now it is Poland's movement, finally it is a spirit. If CUD is a spirit, what are EPDRF AND UEDF going to be: mountains, rivers, rocks or forests.

Bravo CUD, you are the 'solution' keep us confused and violent.

Anyways i like the professor's analysis, it is objective.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 05:11

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msg Comment from: socrates [Visitor]
Dont worry friends CUD is now a spirit, no more a political party. CUD might come up with a spiritual solution to Ethiopian political problem. I love CUD, yesterday the model was Ukrain's orange revolution, now it is Poland's movement, finally it is a spirit. If CUD is a spirit, what are EPDRF AND UEDF going to be: mountains, rivers, rocks or forests.

Bravo CUD, you are the 'solution' keep us confused and violent.

Anyways i like the professor's analysis, it is objective.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 05:13

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msg Comment from: socrates [Visitor]
Dont worry friends CUD is now a spirit, no more a political party. CUD might come up with a spiritual solution to Ethiopian political problem. I love CUD, yesterday the model was Ukrain's orange revolution, now it is Poland's movement, finally it is a spirit. If CUD is a spirit, what are EPDRF AND UEDF going to be: mountains, rivers, rocks or forests.

Bravo CUD, you are the 'solution' keep us confused and violent.

Anyways i like the professor's analysis, it is objective.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 05:13

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msg Comment from: meles Zenawi [Visitor]
I have accept my problem I am going to mad. I can't resist the CUD's pressure. Please give me some time (5 years)and after that I will give my power.....
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 05:42

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msg Comment from: tasisa [Visitor]
Prof. Terrence Lyons

I admire your interest in Ethiopia. You have attempted to summarize the events of 2005. However, much of your information is a copy-paste of what we saw in ethiomedia.com and it is almost half of what happened in 2005. You have completley ignored the other half...

For today, I recommend you see the following two essay's that may help you start looking to the other half ..

http://www.sidamaconcern.com/news2005/some_thoughts_on_the_cud.htm http://www.wafido.org/saqqataa.pdf
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 09:01

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msg Comment from: DAN [Visitor]
ETHIOPIA is embarking on the rigorous path of democratization and socio_economic transformation.the achievements are so high so far in the sense that various political parties,numerous civic institutions have been mushrooming over the last decade and a half.on the economic front the country has emerged from crippled economic situation and showed incredible performance. roads,schools,hospitals,airports and all sorts of infrastructural developments have been built throughout the country. the grim face of the country has changed dramatically and those foreigners who used to know that country under the previous regimes of the emperor and the military regimes tell you the huge progress that country has been making. but the success is not without its own hurdles and limitations since democratization and development are not events.they are process and outcome of years of struggle.the current developed democracies are where they are now after yeats of ardous and long struggle.ethiopia can not be the exception . those who are vehemently opposed to the present political dispensation in ethiopia are either those poeple who are novice to what democracy is or are deliberate hypocrats who have been erstwhile enemies of the eprdf and the overwhelming majotities of the poeole of ethiopia .they were trying to do away with the system since the downfall of the military regime since some of them were the officials of that regime who committed crimes against humanity through the scheme known as the red terror.they are in the business of reinstating the dead DERGUE through the violence which they think may help them to turnish the image of the incumbent.but it is the ultimate task of any democratic government to make sure that peace and order prevails in the country.the ethiopian government can not be exceptional.the wrath of the law has to catch on any one who tries to be above the law.the lawless elements of the CUD are also can not be above the law so that the law has to take its due course. ok!
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 10:07

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msg Comment from: berta [Visitor]
Meles is very dirty. That is why he sprays too much perfume on his closes. But he never be clean of all his stench. He will remain dirty for ever.
PermalinkPermalink 01/25/06 @ 19:34

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Dear Hayal don't be stupid and moron. You think Birtukan made this message from her Cell. Do you beleive that? Where are intellectuals who can analise true and false? This message was made by those Kinigit supporters like you. Are you trying to convince us she wrote this letter from prison if it is EPRDF is more democratic than we beleive. One time You are acusing EPRDF depriving freedom of speach in the country and now you are telling us she wrote aletter from prison. Try another tactic EPRDF knows everything before you change it to action, that's why you don't like EPRDF. Kingit should find another person to outsmart our Prime Minister Meles Zenawi. Lidetu Might be the next prime minister. What? You don't like Lidetu Ican tell. Stop swimming in Your endless lies. You guys were telling to the whole world that Meles has asked asyllum in America when three days left for Election. Again when he went to Germany You said the samething When you guys stop lying?
PermalinkPermalink 01/26/06 @ 03:08

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Kilashkoove You infiltrator Shaabiya. I Know that you are from Eritrea. You are pretending you are EPRDF supporter but the rhetoric you are using by mentioning Amara the term u r using is not theirs, instead they use neftegna Amara you see? There is diference between neftegna Amara and Amara ok? you shaabya. You how I know that you are from Eritrea? because you missed N
PermalinkPermalink 01/26/06 @ 03:25

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msg Comment from: Ali [Visitor]
Shabiya’s Dream to Destabilize Ethiopia

By Kebede Anemut

Jan 26, 2006

I wrote this article in response to the recent article posted on Shabit website entitled “Eritrea has nothing to gain from Ethiopia’s Disintegration”. As soon as I saw the title, I couldn’t help but laugh very loud. My son came from the other room and asked me what was going on. I told him a tiny country called Eritrea makes itself so important and dreams of ‘disintegrating” Ethiopia. He also laughed but I don’t think he understood the matter quite well. It is really laughable when a hopeless nation like Eritrea makes itself important and thinks of “disintegrating” Ethiopia. I don’t know why the Shabiya leaders keep forgetting that theirs’ is a very small and poor country and defeated not only militarily but also politically and diplomatically? Unless the entire Shabiya leadership is suffering from Amnesia, how could they forget “Operation Sun Set”, the Battle of Mereb, the Battle of Barentu and their favorite first, second and most importantly third offensive? Didn’t the soldiers run looking back to see if Ethiopians are following them?



Dictators like Ide Amein, Mengistu Hailemariam, Issayas Afeworki not only thrive in violence but also think of themselves as leaders who are created to change the course of history in their countries as well as at regional and international levels. In late 70s, Ide Amein wondered why Africa failed to recognize him as the invaluable leader. After reading leaflets distributed by the now outdated Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Party (EPRP) in late 70s at OAU meeting in Addis Ababa, Amein asked why the EPRP didn’t call him the father of Africa. Mengistu Hailemariam on his part was obsessed with spreading his version of “Ethiopian Socialism” across Africa and the Middle East to “liberate” the proletariat and the peasantry. Issayas Afeworki considers himself the Che Guevara of Africa and takes anti-West stand at every twists and turns although his beleaguered nation depends on Western food aid. He demonizes the AU, UN, US and Europe because they don’t fit into his model of the world he would like to shape. Before the 1998 war, he was constantly bragging about defeating the biggest army in Black Africa. He didn’t want to acknowledge that a host of domestic and international factors contributed to the demise of Mengistu. However, he shut his mouth after his conscript army was badly shattered and left in tartars by heroic Ethiopian defense forces in battles subsequent to “Operation Sunset.” His goal in starting the war was to humiliate Ethiopia and become uncontested regional power. But God is not on his side. His forces were cut and killed. The rest ran in disarray leaving their cities and their dead behind. Some changed their uniforms in haste to wear women’s dresses to save their lives. The 1998-2000 war was a bitter pill for the megalomaniac dictator. Yet he had no choice other than swallowing it. Thanks to the US and UN; they saved him from being caught and brought to justice.



Shabiya is a highly violent military organization that is alien to peace and development. Since it took power in 1991, it continues to rule Eritrea with an iron fist. Even before “liberation”, Shabiya has used violence as a sole means of solving problems. It has killed intellectuals, disabled veterans, Addi Abeyto inmates and many others in different concentration camps. Issayas has come to power by killing and will stay in power by killing.



For obvious reasons, Shabiya wants the total destruction of Ethiopia. It attacks when Ethiopia is in great internal crisis. Shabiya chose to attack in 1998 because it assumed that the people of Ethiopia are wholly against Woyane and that it would be easy to defeat Woyane and of course Ethiopia. Issayas miscalculated then and suffered ignominious defeat. Now he believes it is time to attack again because Ethiopia has political problems. The current attempt to stir political unrest in Ethiopia by siding with the opposition fits well into his sinister design. One may wonder how could Shabiya support a political force, the Coalition for Unity and Democracy (CUD) that claims the Port of Asseb and even the very sovereignty of Eritrea? Shabiya knows well that Woyane won’t relinquish power and if opposition is strengthened one way or the other, the two forces would throw themselves at each other and that would lead to civil war. Once civil war starts, it would be difficult to stop and Shabiya would do whatever it wants inside Ethiopia.



The other side of Issayas’ calculation is that if the opposition is not strong enough as he hopes and fails to shake up Woyane, he would threaten to start war and make it seem that war is imminent thus adding pressure on the Ethiopian government. Regardless of the motive, if Shabiya starts war this time around, it would not only bring an end to itself but to the very survival of Eritrean as a nation state. Shabiya should be told to shut up and stop arming disgruntled OLF refuges or Al Ithad Jihadists. Ethiopia should get time to concentrate on development and eradication of poverty. If Shabiya continues to be an instrument of some powers which would like to see a week and disintegrated Ethiopia for their own national interest, Ethiopia has to take a decisive action that will once and for all bring an end to a war by proxy. In the interest of peace and development for our children, let’s sacrifice a year or so to unravel the Shabiya fabric. This must be the call of our time and we should stand in unison with the government regardless of our political differences in order to accomplish this overarching goal.



However, it is sad to see some Ethiopians side with Shabiya even when it is so clear to them that it is enemy number one of their country. Although Shabiya often miscalculates, some of its calculations are worth considering. For instance, it supports CUD not because it loves it but wants to use it to initiate civil war. Shabiya has been using and continues to use Ethiopian groups to promote its own agenda. Has any Ethiopian group used Eritrean politicians for Ethiopian agenda? I doubt it. Our Ethiopian brothers side with Shabiya to oust Woyane even if that brings about civil war in the country. They prefer to see a dismembered Ethiopia engulfed in civil war than Woyane at the helm. These days, different groups opposing Woyane use electronic media to spread their wishes of death and destruction in Addis Ababa and in the provinces. It is so strange that one derives happiness at death and destruction in his/her own country? Specially the ESEPA (WPE) group posts “Bere Wolede” on different sites. And these days, they have become the best friends of Shabiya.



As if they didn’t kill young men and women in front of their mothers and asked the mothers to step on their children’s bodies, the disciples of Ali Mussa and Legess Asfaw have now become the “champions of democracy” and unceasingly shout for “human rights”. Shame on them! In addition to being a medium of disinformation, some of the sites run by ESEPA have become a conduit of Shabiya propaganda. In its recent posting, ER begged the US assistant secretary who was on a mission to solve the Ethiopian-Eritrean border problem as follows. “Ambassador Frazer, please focus on the root cause of the problem in the region. If there is a democratic government in Ethiopia, there will be no war in the region”? ER, how about Eritrea? Who started the 1998 war? To your dismay, Eritrea was found the culprit by the Hague Commission for starting the war. “Awko yetegnan bikesekesut aysemam newena” as long as Shabiya agents in the US pay you for your mercenary role, you will continue distorting reality. However, you won’t have any effect other than being a mercenary and an internet patriot.



PermalinkPermalink 01/26/06 @ 05:42

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msg Comment from: HAYAL [Visitor]
I know Socrates a footballer from Brazil, I know of Socrates the Greek Philosopher...
I don't want to know about the one who
thinks that EPRDF is the same as the UEDF.
The spirit of freedom that the CUD has brought to Ethiopia is also around you..It will get into you and free you!!
PermalinkPermalink 01/26/06 @ 06:22

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msg Comment from: nuna [Visitor]
Ali,
Who was romanced by the shabiyas more than the woyanes??Who body guarded meles zenawi in the 1990's?
Meles zenawi gave every thing the country had to these groups, including Asseb, i remember when ethiopians were kicked out of Eritrea in the 1990's,melese's response was so what!!!, i remember so many Eritren citizens working in foreign affairs,defence ministry,seccurity,etc.., as if the country is short of work force. (Have you ever heared of a leader appointing foreigners as his ambassodr to the out side world ), only meles zenawi did that. Do you remember truck loads of goods crossing the boarder to Eritrea while tigreans were begging for food in every major cities.tell your friends meles and azeb to share their mega corporation money with their starving people., why did you forget to mention meles zenawi to be a dictator, after all he is one not only by Ethiopian standard, but by the standard of the world.
my friend wake up and smell the stinky rat of the woyanes and cronnies, because it is every where, that is ofcourse if you want to use your god given nose to smell with it.
PermalinkPermalink 01/26/06 @ 10:14

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msg Comment from: gidiraw [Visitor]
nestanet,
you brother, MELES excludes the rest of us by his"got to do rhetoric" in one of his infamous speech he ones said,"what southerners have to do mith Axume civelization";why now you are trying to position us behind it.As to us, you guys can take that Ethiopia,and leave us alone.we will not indulge peace and democracy with you and your likes in power.
PermalinkPermalink 01/26/06 @ 18:36

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msg Comment from: korgel [Visitor]
It is good when foreigners write or speak,because woyane listens to foreigners not to his people.
PermalinkPermalink 01/27/06 @ 00:37

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
It's shame for some of you trying to impose The Meles like propaganda on Ethiopian people TPLF knows It lost the election in the late night of the election after the result of most politically awakened areas were tabulted.You should come down to you sense and don't tell us any thing about ruling party win.

How on earth a manuplated result for elaction on may and result in sptember is fair by any standard, shame on TPLF and their supporters! CUD is Ethiopia ,and Ethiopia is CUD.
PermalinkPermalink 01/27/06 @ 01:54

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Dear Yakob Youguys have lost don't try to convince us. You took Our money what's left now. We didn't elect but we are the ones who want to give decision. International comunity has told to the opposition group like the so called CUD. to enter the parliament and work within the system. Those EPRDF members were dying when Hailu Showel was living inthe 70's and 80's. Meles and his friends gave their young life for the salvation of Ethiopian people. Some of you think any person who supports EPRDF is Tigre. I am Amhara but I support any group but CUD because they were ruling Ethiopia for 17 years thanks for that BBC journalist we know about Hailu Shoel. CUD won in Addis only. It has no capability to win in otherparts of Ethiopia. IN Somali region they withdraw because they know EPRDF is dominant. You guy allready a year passed from election skip this one 4 years is left for the other election. You will give it a shot that time and you willbe defeated real bad that time Good luck MENGEDUN CHERK YARGLACHEW BILUAL MELE TEKLAI MINISTRACHIN. For Gidiraw what Iam gonna tell you is if it is not for Meles you wouldn't write on the internate like this. Germamo Gabisso Gidiraw and so on you better bless Meles for giving you your unlimited freedom.
PermalinkPermalink 01/27/06 @ 02:53

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msg Comment from: satenaw [Visitor]
ወየዉ ፡ ወያኔ ፡ ወየዉ ፡ ትግሬዎች፡
ጉዳችሁ፡ ፈላ፡ እናንተ፡ ኣንበጦች።

እናንተ፡ ከብቶች፡ የላም፡ እበቶች፡
ድንበር፡ ኣስቆራሽ፡ ህፅን፡ ገዳዮች፡
በዘር፡ በቓንቓ፡ ሃገር፡ ገንጣዮች፡
በሃይማኖት፡ ክልል፡ ህዝብ፡ በታኞች።

እዩኝ፡ እዩኝ፡ ማለት ፡ ደብቁኝ ሊያመጣ፡
መሄጃም፡ የላችሁ፡ ያቀን፡ ሲመጣ።
ከእንስሳ፡ በታች፡ የምታስቡ፡
ህፃን፡ ገላችሁ፡ ምታጨበጭቡ፡
የሃጥያታችሁ፡ ብዛት ፡መቸም፡ ኣይገባችሁ፡
ገለን ፡ ጨፍጭፈን፡ ካልጨረስናችሁ።

ዘላለማዊዉ፡ ስልጣን፡መስሎኣችሁ፡
ከኦሮሞ፡ ከኣማራ፡ ደም፡ ተቃባችሁ፡
ጉራጌ፡ ሲዳሞ፡ ማንም፡ ኣልቀራችሁ
ሁሉንም፡ ዜጋ፡ ነክሳችሁ፡ ገላችሁ።

ኣናሳ፡ ዜጋ፡ ሁናችሁ፡ ሳለ፡
እኛን፡ መንካቱ፡ ጣጣ፡ ኣስከተለ።

፡ሬሳህ፡ ሊጎተት፡ ነዉ ፡በየኣደባባዩ
ኢትዮጵያ”፡ ተናስቶኣል፡ ደም፡ ተበቃዩ።



01/27/06 @ 11:10
PermalinkPermalink 01/27/06 @ 17:26

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msg Comment from: W/Senbet [Visitor]

Brother Ali,your article can give some lesson,but you didn't say any thing about the close relation ship of meles and afewrake and their illdeed against Ethiopians and their national interest.
We Ethiopians know perfectly who is our enemies and who is our friends. meles and afewrke are two sides of one coine. The self claimed PM legesse is the number one enemy of Ethiopia and its people.
As most dictators, he soon to lost power. His masters finally gave up to feed him.
God bless Ethiopia and its true childrean.
PermalinkPermalink 01/28/06 @ 10:36

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msg Comment from: socrates [Visitor]
First should come peace, then we can talk politics.

The old men in CUD refused to accept the results of the election, because they know if they miss this one they will be too old for the next election. That is one reason. The second reason is His Honor Hailu is too proud to be just a member of parliament sitting together with other peasants in the parliament. Arrogance.

One of the sickness of CUD and its supporters is that they think every ethiopian supports CUD. It is not true. CUD should look for a sound stratefy to fight EPDRF, other than rose and organge revolution, polish movemnet, SPIRIT etc.

Meles has started talking about development,export of teff, sesam etc. leaving behind the election crisis. CUD and its supporters will continue barking, writing, protesting for the coming at least 10 years, while EPDRF is continuing building schools, roads, factories, Universities etc.

Continue barking, the old camel will continue it journey.
PermalinkPermalink 01/28/06 @ 14:42

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
You pathtic Socrates and Netsanet "yebesebese zinab ayferam malet lenant new" you just tell the Stalinist philosophy you heard from the cadres you don't even think try that try to have your own jujment.You may find every thing clear for at least one step. Our CUD leaders don't want power for their livlihood like you.They are world class ivestors.You have hands and legs you can meke living working at least in a quarisite.Am i wrong mahaimoch? stop robbing Ethiopian people
PermalinkPermalink 01/30/06 @ 01:24

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Yakob Hi You said lenant new? ki kikikikikikikikiki. I have to teach you how to spell judgement. This is the write one ok? What happen to the education you boasting about? CUD members are well educated write? EPRDF members are ignorants and uneducated. That's what yousaying about EPRDF. But let me tell you one thing They are much better than Your CUD educated people. In the first place they had been ruling Ethiopia for 17 years with Mengistus regime. We don't expect from educated people depriving ones right like telling him not to listen to the other radio, not to interact in social life with their neigbours if they are supporter of EPRDF. Nuna is telling us these are educated people, who are poisoning the atmosphere in hate. You guys use your brain. Nuna they should take five of the points which EPRDF agreed upon. Democracy doesn't mean you will get all requests you propse. You take some you give some that's what democraccy is all about. Instead the people you call them educated choose violence, because the only thing they know is Macho style agressivenes. The mistake was right there. By see you later.
PermalinkPermalink 01/30/06 @ 03:14

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
Netsanet why you failed to comment on the alphabetic order of QUARTZSITE means "KABA" .I was not spelt it appropriately.This means you quit school at early ages.At the stage of writing Djibouti! "Yabogida shifta"
PermalinkPermalink 01/30/06 @ 03:41

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
Dear Nestanet,Democracy has never said take with out having any thing .You know what you did was a day light robbery as renouned observers said it.You have never ruled ethiopia and don't full yourself.Every body knows there is no ruler in this country this time.But Ethiopian people very well know how to handle difficult situation.A gunner never rules intead supresses!
PermalinkPermalink 01/30/06 @ 04:03

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msg Comment from: Bekele [Visitor]
ሳተናው

አንተማ ግጥም አገኘሁ ብለህ ልብህ ወልቋል። እኔ ደፋ ልበል። ያንተን ዓይነት ክፍታፎች ናቸው በደርጉ ጊዜም ብሱ ሰው ያስጨረሱ። ዋ አለ ቁራ እንዲሉ። የምታውቀውን ሁሉ አትናገር። ለነገ ደግሞ በል።
አፍ ወዳጁን ያማል ሥራ ሲያጣ፡ ሽመል ይገባዋል ያዝማሪ ቀልባጣ።

እንደተባለው ላንተም ሰጋሁልህ። አይዞህ፡ እኛ ግን ግፋ ቢል ቃሊቲ ለስኮላርሺፕ እንልክህ ይሆናል እንጂ በሽመል አንገርፍም። ኢሰብአዊ ድርጊቶችን ላንተና ለቅንጅቶች እንተወው።
ኢህአዴግ ይለመልማል፣ አንተና ቅንጅት ትወድማላችሁ»
PermalinkPermalink 01/30/06 @ 08:52

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msg Comment from: Satenaw [Visitor]
ኣቶ ፡ በቀለ፡ የትግሬ፡ ባንዳ፡
ይህን፡ የምታነቡ፡ ሁሉ፡ እንደምትረዱት፡ ይህ፡ በቀለ ፡ በሚባል፡ ስም፡ የሚፅፈዉ፡ ትግሬ፡ በዚህ፡ ስራ፡ ላይ ፡ ወያኔ፡ በብዙ፡ ሺህ፡ ብር፡ ቀጥሮ፡ ያሰማራዉ፡ የኢንተርኔት፡ ታጋይ፡ ሲሆን፡ ይህ፡ ግለሰብ፡ ህዝባችንን፡ በመግደል፡ ላይ፡ በሚገኘው፡ የኣጋዚ፡ ክ/ጦር፡ ዉስጥ፡ በማገልግል፡ ልይ ፡ ካሉት፡ ኣንዱ፡ ሳይሆንም፡ ኣይቀርም፡ ተብሎ፡ ይገመታል።
እስቲ፡ መልስ፡ የሚሰጥባቸዉን፡ ርእሶች፡ ብዛት፡ ኣጢኑት። ቀኑን፡ ሙሉ፡ የምያጠፋው፡ እዚሁ፡ ኢንተርኔት፡ ላይ፡ ነዉ። ለምን፡ ቢባል፡ የህ፡ የትግሬ፡ ታጋይ፡ ከትግሬ” ኣለቆቹ፡ የተሰጥዉ፡ ስራ፡ ድርሻ፡ በመሆኑ፡ የተነሳ፡ ነዉ፡ ብሎ፡ ለመገመት” ኣያዳግትም።

ሌላዉ፡ ደግሞ፡ የኦሮሞን፡ ህዝብ፡ በትግሬዎቹ፡ ተጠቃሚ፡ ኣድርጎ፡ ለማሳየት፡ የሚያደርገዉ፡ ጥረት፡ በጣም፡ ኣስገራሚ፡ ነዉ። ሁላችንም፡ እንደምናዉቀዉ፡ የኦሮሞ፡ ህዝብ፡ ከሌሎቹ፡ የኢትዮጵያ፡ ብሄሮች፡ ባላነሰ፡ ሁኔታ፡ ( እንዲያዉም፡ በበለጠ ።ሁኔታ)
እይተበደለና፡ እየትሰቃየ፡ ያለ፡ ህዝብ፡ ሆኖ፡ ሳለ፡ በቀለና፡ መሰሎቹ፡ የትግሬ፡ ዉሾች፡ የኢትዮጵያን፡ ህዝብ። ለመከፋፈል፡ የሚያደርጉት፡ ጥረት፡ ከምን፡ ግዜዉም፡ በበለጠ፡ ሁኔታ፡ ተያይዝዉታል።ከወደቁ፡ በኅላ፡ መፈራገጥ፡ ለመላላጥ፡ ነዉና፡ በቀለም፡ ሆንክ፡ ሌሎቹ፡ የትግሬ፡ ዉሾች፡ ሁሉንም፡ መንከስ፡ ብታቆሙ፡ ከመድረ፡ ኢትዮጵያ፡ ተጠርጋችሁ፡ እንዳትወገዱ፡ ሊረዳችሁ፡ ይችላልና፡ ኣስቡበት።
ይህ፡ ማለት፡ ለሰራችሁት፡ ግፍ፡ ኣትጠየቁም፡ ማለት፡ ኣይደለም።ይሀ፡ ማለት ሬሳችሁን፡ ባደባባይ፡ ከማስጎተት፡ ታድኑታላችሁ፡ ማለት፡ ብቻ፡ ነዉ።
ድል፡ ለኢትዮጵያ፡ ህዝብ፡
ሞት፡ ለትግሬ፡ ዉሻዎች።
PermalinkPermalink 01/30/06 @ 11:57

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Yacob to give you an answer I only focus on one topic 'Lenant new alk Yene gebere'.
PermalinkPermalink 01/31/06 @ 02:26

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Yakob Heweiet amba neh? yene wendm You better write in Amharic be englizgna kemtwelakef. Asra sebat amet yastedaderut ene Hailu showel malete new EPRDF asrasebat amet algezam 14 new. I thought you Know numbers. Who said a day light robery Ana Gobeze? By the way is she sister of Negede Gobeze. The only person who said that was Hailu showel when he was grilled by the BBC journalist on the day he lied three times like Peter. There is people's elected government in the country. There is law and order that's why they didn't declare state of emergency,because they are very confident.
PermalinkPermalink 01/31/06 @ 03:42

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
Yene geja,I think you'r feeling an adrenaline injection thru your blood.You look very angry because I mentioned "kaba".It's ok you have to live with it.For me politics is a part time job"alshelembetim".
I know Ana Gomes is your worst enemy.She has to tell you the truth you lost,and you "ena meselochih" don't want returning back to the usual poverty"kifiw dihnet endaikelidibih,Anjet sit bella yedeha neger tebilo tezefnaul".If you are angry "geleba kehonk" you will be thrown out like a junk,"tergaga eshi!
PermalinkPermalink 01/31/06 @ 06:16

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msg Comment from: waqo [Visitor]
You guys don't waste your time with blinded people like netsanet.They are writing for servival other wise Meles will dissmiss him by the so called gimgema.
PermalinkPermalink 02/01/06 @ 02:52

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Hi Yakob yene gebere I read your coment about Ana Gomez, you mentioned her about telling us the truth. We don't hear the truth from outsider like you, We heard the truth from The Election board. She was just an observer. Her mandate was not and shouldn't be making dicision. At the same what she said was it doesn't meet international standard, so that doesn't mean EPRDF lost the Election. This is your immature brain understanding. Waqo why did you choose Oromo name. To confuse the Oromos? the Oromos are much much better of than they were 14 years a go when you were serving as a Militia in Erttrea for dictator Mengistus regime. Yakob yene gebere let me come back to you, by the way you didn't answer my question "Heweyet Anba Neh?" You insulted me for being Yeabogida Shifta for your information We used to go 0 class. Any way you don't know what it means, ask somebody from the City and they will tell you. Which Kaba you talking about? The holy place in Saudi Arabia or the wedding dress of ours "Leyewna Nigeregn bemiketlew gize". Waqo Meles has no money to pay me because of the sanction you called about in Washington. Maferiawoch Ki Ki Ki Ki Ki Ki.
PermalinkPermalink 02/05/06 @ 03:48

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msg Comment from: waqo [Visitor]

We don't hear from corrupt officails too.By the way don't be too angry me and yakob just wanted to see your temper and we fill you are a nice guy.we succeded in irritating you for each word we put there.
PermalinkPermalink 02/06/06 @ 06:05

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
Thank you waqo.It took him a week to respond to this message.May be he visited a library to do so or else he may run out of coins.
Gejaw netsi,shame on you having such a name and still you are not liberated.
Next time don't try to write long and vein as nobody will read it.
And also "demih eyifla,dingayun talew"

Chaw yene geja,yene gegema!

PermalinkPermalink 02/06/06 @ 06:18

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Thank for your respond Yakob but you didn't answer the question I asked you "Heweyet anba neh?". Waqo you can add Gutu on your name. And you can be real Oromo. Why you don't write a little bit more paragraphs to explain your Ideas in wider sense. You are better than your Gondere friend Yakob. By the way ask your friend what does Geja mean I don't understand yefara language. Long leave for EPRDF because they are Ye Ethiopia yekurt ken lijoch nachewna. They didn't left they country because she is poor. Now you guys when you see the progress in the country you want to come back to the country and buy the land from the peasants. That is your land reform. Now we should ask EPRDF to give that 500 caremeter land which was given for the so called diasporas back to stone throwing jobless youths. That must be the answer to those people who are trying to stop the aid for the poor Ethiopians. Any way Americans they Know what this goverment of ours is doing. Ethiopia is peacefull there is no problem in every corner of the country. We don't need your hate propaganda don't come to us,we are better of without you.
PermalinkPermalink 02/07/06 @ 03:49

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msg Comment from: Andnet [Visitor]
Well said Netsanet tell these stupid morons who are demonstrating to stop aid for the poor people of Ethiopia. When this goverment came to this power there was nothing left in treasury. What this government inherited was debt of armaments more than 6 billion dollars. Could you emagine the government buy armaments while millions of its people were dying? These are the people who took the money and fled the country. Now to buy land they are asking land reform are these people nuts? Over the martyrs of EPRDF they will do it.
PermalinkPermalink 02/07/06 @ 04:05

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msg Comment from: waqo [Visitor]
Netsanet why u pretend to look like an urbanized guy.
I don't know why u fail to understand that tplf heavily lost in Addis than any place.Even urbanized tigreans are not supporting tplf.

TPLF talks about farmers but you say "ante gebere" please read before posting other wise it is nonsense.so this is what 'geja' mean, yene gegema.

PermalinkPermalink 02/07/06 @ 08:15

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
Thank you waqo,tell him what the reality in Addis is b/c he is washing a dish abroad.This guy don't know The Gonderes have been writing the holy bible and kibrenegest when his ancestors were swinging on a tree.
PermalinkPermalink 02/07/06 @ 08:20

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msg Comment from: Netsanet [Visitor]
Waqo I'm not pretending that I'm from urban,because I'm real. You are the one who is pretending as an oromo. I know now where you guys are from,Both of you, Please don't get mad cause I mentioned the Gonderes. Thank you any way for giving me the answer for geja. I will remember it.Yakob You still talk about KIbre negest" you think that's advanced dictionary. I didn't know that the Gonderes wrote holy bible, I thought it was written by the jews. Is there another thing they invented for Ethiopia. I am sure you will give me response for this. Waqo Faraw I understand that our party Eprdf has lost the elction in Addis who deny that?, the government also has accepted that but that doesn't mean The opposition won 100%. This was your miscalculation, that's why you tried to change government by the street coloured revolution. You called the flower name or fruit name, which was coppied from Ukraine and Georgia you will not make any diference. Bring another one from Gonder, Kefagn I don't think that one also get in to Addis. I heard that the Gonderes are helping kinigit to insite violence in Ethiopia. Bring it on and you will get crushed. It is better for you to help your famillies Who are suffering from deseases like Bilharzia,malaria,giardiaand aids ,this should be the true Gonderes idea. Let you built them ground +1 instead of gojo. Make their life bright Kibrenegest kemitl. You guys are driving a cab and you make lots of money and now you want to buy the country. Your dream will stay as a dream forever. 8 months has passed already you guys are still talking about Election. Dear Gonderes lib gizu thank u.
PermalinkPermalink 02/08/06 @ 02:56

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msg Comment from: YAKOB [Visitor]
I can guess the gonderes gave you a hard time in seatle and u can't make any progress in academics except english.I remember my freshman when students from gondar and gojam have made life misearable for others and that is where ur haterd come from.

I also remember if u scored A you will be either gondere or gojame.

and when u take gold they thought as if u were a withard.

and i am afraid u are a victim.

Now Most managers leading gov't based org. are like u, either got tough time in aau or even did't complete their BA/BSC,

Since u r with some pathologic disorder Please don't ever talk about the election result.

Any ways u need to visit a physician(not physics teacher) inder to cure ur ICSOL( intrecranial space occupying lesion).Next time i send u the prescription and give u some tx time. and u won't be contagious any more

Dehna hun ante gegema!


PermalinkPermalink 02/08/06 @ 06:14

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msg Comment from: waqo [Visitor]
People like nestanet still believ the oromos and amharas can't live together.Here is the fact
I have read every comment netsanet made and he is a separationist.
Don't waste ur time inspite of ur desire "ankefafelim","haadan hinbanu"
U added an insult on injury for the so called netsanet.I don't think he can hundle this b/c he can't find the words in advanced dic.

the good news is u advised him to visit a doctor.

Great yakob but next time write coming down to this gegema's level.

As this may consume most of his time
PermalinkPermalink 02/08/06 @ 08:06

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